Search for active players ...

Logo

The WTA's Newest Lopsided Rivalry

Azarenka Has Ostapenko's Number

Few matchups have been as captivating early this year as the showdowns between Victoria Azarenka and Jelena Ostapenko. The 2024 season has already seen these two former Grand Slam champions cross paths three times, with each encounter adding a fascinating chapter to their growing rivalry. Despite Ostapenko's impressive form this year (16-3 to start the year), Azarenka has emerged as her nemesis, claiming victory in all of their head-to-head matches and making her the only player to beat Ostapenko thus far. However, this dominance has come with an intriguing twist: following each triumph over Ostapenko, Azarenka has faltered in the subsequent round.

The latest of these encounters occurred at the prestigious Doha tournament, where Azarenka, ranked 31st worldwide, delivered a commanding performance against the 11th-ranked Ostapenko, winning in straight sets (6-0, 6-3). This victory in the Round of 16 not only highlighted Azarenka's strategic mastery and resilience but also underscored the psychological edge she seems to hold in this particular matchup. Yet, the pattern that has defined their 2024 encounters continued, as Azarenka was unable to carry the momentum into the quarterfinals, where she succumbed to the world number one, Iga Swiatek, in a match that saw her win a mere four games.

This pattern first became apparent at the Australian Open, a grand stage befitting of their grand rivalry. In the Round of 32, Azarenka, then ranked 33rd, overcame Ostapenko (ranked 12th) in a match that ended 1-6, 5-7 in Azarenka's favor. The victory was a testament to Azarenka's experience and ability to perform under pressure, yet the subsequent round saw her bow out of the competition, marking a premature end to her campaign at the year's first Grand Slam.

Their encounter in Brisbane earlier in the year set the stage for what was to come. In a thrilling quarterfinal match, Azarenka edged out Ostapenko in a three-set battle (3-6, 6-3, 5-7), only to fall in the next round to Aryna Sabalenka, signaling the beginning of a recurring theme for Azarenka's 2024 season: victory over Ostapenko, followed by immediate defeat.

The head-to-head record between Azarenka and Ostapenko now stands at a staggering 5-0 in favor of Azarenka, highlighting a clear psychological and tactical advantage. Despite this one-sided ledger, the matches themselves have been anything but straightforward, with Ostapenko pushing Azarenka to her limits in each encounter. Ostapenko's aggressive style and powerful groundstrokes have consistently tested Azarenka's defense and mental fortitude. Yet, Azarenka's experience, coupled with her strategic nous, has allowed her to navigate through Ostapenko's barrages and emerge victorious.

The implications of this rivalry extend beyond their personal battle for supremacy. For Ostapenko, the challenge remains to find a strategy to overcome Azarenka's hurdle, which has become a significant mental and competitive blockade in her otherwise stellar season. Ostapenko's performances in 2024, including a title win in Adelaide and a strong showing in Linz, where she clinched the championship, demonstrate her high caliber and resilience.

For Azarenka, the victories against Ostapenko serve as a reminder of her enduring class and competitiveness at the highest levels of the game, well into her 30s. However, the immediate setbacks following these high-profile wins pose questions about consistency and the ability to maintain peak performance throughout a tournament.

As the 2024 season progresses, the tennis world will keenly watch the evolution of this rivalry. Will Ostapenko find the key to unlocking Azarenka's defense, or will Azarenka continue her dominance over the Latvian star?